Prairie Diamond
7yo Gelding · 11-7 · OR 103
Fontwell · Setford Handicap Hurdle · 2m 5f 164y
#4
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-11 | Southwell | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-01 | Wincanton | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-09 | Taunton | 5 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-01-17 | Taunton | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-12-14 | Southwell | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-11-20 | Wincanton | 5 | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/2024 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |
| 14/07/2024 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 22% | -0.30 |
| 30/08/2024 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 75% | +0.33 |
| 21/11/2024 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 28/11/2024 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 64% | -0.24 |
| 14/12/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 63% | +0.15 |
| 17/01/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |
| 09/03/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |
| 01/04/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |