4
Starshine Legend
5yo Gelding · 11-9 · OR 105
Fontwell · Setford Handicap Hurdle · 2m 5f 164y
#2
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#2
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Worcester | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-22 | Worcester | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Perth | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Uttoxeter | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2026-04-07 | Pontefract | 5 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +4.4% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06/2024 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 50% | -0.41 |
| 15/07/2024 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |
| 04/09/2024 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 89% | +0.42 |
| 07/04/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 45% | -0.33 |
| 11/05/2026 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 38% | -0.45 |
| 04/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 02/07/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 22/07/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 25% | -0.30 |
| 19/08/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |