3
Balkardy
9yo Gelding · 11-10 · OR 103
Fontwell · betting.bet Play Champion Tipster Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 3m 1f 210y
#3
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | Newton Abbot | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Newton Abbot | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-06 | Worcester | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Ffos Las | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2025-11-06 | Ludlow | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2025-10-16 | Ffos Las | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 467% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength90%
Delivery trend +3.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 4. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/01/2025 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 03/02/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |
| 21/03/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 57% | -0.01 |
| 17/04/2025 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |
| 05/06/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 30/08/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 16/10/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 06/06/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 13/07/2026 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |