IvyArcIvyArc
4

Flashy Boy

9yo Gelding · 10-2 · OR 81

Fontwell · betting.bet Play Champion Tipster Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 3m 1f 210y

#4

Rank

Odds

1/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Confirmed the promise of his Stratford run when off the mark under Rules at Newton Abbot in August. Should probably have followed up back there on Friday, held back by a couple of significant errors and he remains one to be very positive about at this level.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength3%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Uttoxeter 17/06/2023 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m7f168y Gd 15617/0645 @ Market Rasen 30/09/2023 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 90 · 2m2f140y Goo 154 · below its mark30/09/2023 · OR 90 par5 @ Huntingdon 05/11/2023 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 88 · 3m1f10y Goo 156 · below its mark05/11/2023 · OR 88 par5/115OR 885 @ Ludlow 12/05/2024 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 87 · 2m5f55y Goo 155 · below its mark12/05/2024 · OR 87 par4 @ Stratford 07/10/2024 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 85 · 2m6f7y Sft 148 · beat its mark07/10/2024 · OR 85 par7/104OR 855 @ Newton Abbot 19/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 77 · 2m4f216y Goo 148 · beat its mark19/07/2026 · OR 77 par5 @ Stratford 20/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 73 · 3m3f119y GF 142 · beat its mark20/08/2026 · OR 73 par20/085OR 735 @ Newton Abbot 27/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 73 · 3m1f170y Goo 142 · beat its mark27/08/2026 · OR 73 par5 @ Newton Abbot 18/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 81 · 3m1f170y Gd 149 · beat its mark18/09/2026 · OR 81 par18/095OR 81projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-18Newton Abbot52nd3rd−1
2026-08-27Newton Abbot51st2nd−1
2026-08-20Stratford53rd4th−1
2026-07-19Newton Abbot55th6th−1
2026-01-16Market Rasen5−1
2024-10-07Stratford43rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0612/0520/0818/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 433% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength96%

Delivery trend +3.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 4. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/06/20236th10/147%44%-0.03
30/09/20236th5/287%38%-0.49
05/11/20234th5/174%40%-0.34
12/05/20245th7/282%50%-0.32
07/10/20243rd5/174%78%+0.04
19/07/20265th7/282%43%-0.39
20/08/20263rd7/282%60%-0.22
27/08/20261st13/891%100%+0.09
18/09/20262nd10/382%83%+0.01