Yes Day
8yo Gelding · 12-0 · OR 107
Fontwell · betting.bet Play Champion Tipster Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 3m 1f 210y
#1
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
93%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Worcester | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Market Rasen | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Worcester | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Stratford | 3 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-04-15 | Haydock | 3 | +1 | ||
| 2026-03-26 | Warwick | 2 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.3% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 4.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 01/01/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 18/01/2026 | 12th | 16/1 | 16% | 27% | +0.11 |
| 07/03/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 29% | -0.19 |
| 26/03/2026 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 30/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 01/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |
| 18/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 19/08/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |