Bacardi Blue
5yo Gelding · 10-5 · OR 68
Fontwell · betting.bet Free Bets Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f 162y
#2
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Newton Abbot | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-23 | Newton Abbot | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-11 | Worcester | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-09-09 | Newton Abbot | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +11.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09/2025 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/06/2026 | 6th | 200/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 23/06/2026 | 3rd | 80/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 22/08/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 33% | +0.28 |