Major Major
6yo Gelding · 10-10 · OR 75
Fontwell · betting.bet Free Bets Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f 162y
#9
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-23 | Warwick | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | Plumpton | 5 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-16 | Plumpton | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-23 | Plumpton | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-12-29 | Newbury | 3 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2025-12-01 | Plumpton | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07/2025 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 18/09/2025 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 86% | +0.30 |
| 07/10/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |
| 01/12/2025 | 5th | 250/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 29/12/2025 | 7th | 250/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 23/02/2026 | 5th | 100/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 16/03/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 05/04/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 23/04/2026 | 8th | 100/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |