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2

Brazilian Legacy

5yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 65

Fort Erie · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f 110y

#1

Rank

Odds

7/4

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

93%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength63%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Woodbine 03/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 60 · 6f Fas 124 · beat its mark03/07/2025 · OR 60 par3/07C9OR 60C9 @ Woodbine 24/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 64 · 6f110y Fas 124 · below its mark24/07/2025 · OR 64 parC9 @ Woodbine 15/08/2025 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 67 · 7f 124 · below its mark15/08/2025 · OR 67 par15/08C9OR 67C6 @ Fort Erie 08/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 60 · 6f110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/09/2025 · OR 60 parC5 @ Fort Erie 22/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 60 · 6f110y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/09/2025 · OR 60 par22/09C5OR 60C8 @ Fort Erie 06/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 63 · 6f Fas 124 · below its mark06/10/2025 · OR 63 parC8 @ Fort Erie 13/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 67 · 6f 124 · below its mark13/10/2025 · OR 67 par13/10C8OR 67C8 @ Woodbine 13/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 67 · 7f Fas 124 · below its mark13/11/2025 · OR 67 parC8 @ Fort Erie 12/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 73 · 6f110y Fas 120 · below its mark12/07/2026 · OR 73 par12/07C8OR 73projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-12Fort Erie?4th4th0
2025-11-13Woodbine?3rd3rd0
2025-10-13Fort Erie?3rd3rd0
2025-10-06Fort Erie?2nd2nd0
2025-09-22Fort Erie?1st-2th+3
2025-09-08Fort Erie?1st-1th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/078/0913/1012/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength93%

Delivery trend +1.1% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 5.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/07/20253rd4/179%75%-0.04
24/07/20252nd11/1094%83%-0.11
15/08/20259th9/276%27%-0.49
08/09/20251st9/488%100%+0.12
22/09/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
06/10/20252nd4/696%75%-0.21
13/10/20253rd7/163%60%-0.03
13/11/20253rd25/10%78%+0.78
12/07/20264th11/1094%25%-0.69