1
Right Brightly
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 55
Fort Erie · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-23 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-08 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-10 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-10 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-09-20 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-08-31 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 3-5 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength18%
Delivery trend -5.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 24/07/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 22/08/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 64% | +0.48 |
| 31/08/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 20/09/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 10/10/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 10/11/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 08/12/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 23/12/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 14% | -0.12 |