
Legs Like Flatter
5yo Mare · 8-8 · OR 74
Fort Erie · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
88%
Place Prob
65%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Fort Erie | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Fort Erie | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-07-21 | Fort Erie | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Fort Erie | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-28 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-08 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -6.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09/2025 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 13/10/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 21/10/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 08/11/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/11/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/06/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 21/07/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 03/08/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 17/08/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 17% | -0.52 |