Vandoo
5yo Mare · 8-8 · OR 72
Fort Erie · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Fort Erie | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Fort Erie | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Fort Erie | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Fort Erie | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-29 | Fort Erie | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 11/12/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 44% | -0.03 |
| 18/04/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 09/05/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 29/06/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 83% | +0.25 |
| 12/07/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 27/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 60% | -0.26 |
| 11/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 07/09/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |