Wet And Wild
6yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 67
Fort Erie · Race 3 - Claiming · 5f
#6
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Fort Erie | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-08-03 | Fort Erie | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Fort Erie | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-05-31 | Fort Erie | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/11/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 88% | +0.61 |
| 14/12/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 26/04/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 09/05/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 31/05/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 06/07/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 03/08/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 17/08/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 06/09/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |