3
Cut'em Loose
6yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 71
Fort Erie · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength27%
Delivery trend -3.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 57% | -0.19 |
| 13/12/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 43% | -0.26 |
| 10/05/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 31/05/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 17% | -0.54 |
| 18/06/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 11/07/2026 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |
| 24/07/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 14/08/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 28/08/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |