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6

Glintindaddyseye

4yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 76

Fort Erie · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

6/4

Win Prob

93%

Place Prob

71%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength62%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Fort Erie 09/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 82 · 6f110y 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/09/2025 · OR 82 par9/09C5OR 82C8 @ Woodbine 26/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 83 · 6f110y Fas 120 · below its mark26/09/2025 · OR 83 parC8 @ Woodbine 03/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 81 · 7f 122 · below its mark03/10/2025 · OR 81 par3/10C8OR 81C5 @ Fort Erie 20/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 82 · 6f110y Slo 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/10/2025 · OR 82 parC8 @ Woodbine 14/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR 81 · 7f 121 · below its mark14/11/2025 · OR 81 par14/11C8OR 81C8 @ Woodbine 13/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 83 · 7f Fas 119 · below its mark13/12/2025 · OR 83 parC5 @ Fort Erie 30/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 80 · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/06/2026 · OR 80 par30/06C5OR 80C5 @ Fort Erie 28/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 82 · 6f110y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/07/2026 · OR 82 parC5 @ Fort Erie 11/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 82 · 6f110y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/08/2026 · OR 82 par11/08C5OR 82projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-11Fort Erie?5th2nd+3
2026-07-28Fort Erie?2nd-1th+3
2026-06-30Fort Erie?3rd0th+3
2025-12-13Woodbine?7th7th0
2025-11-14Woodbine?5th5th0
2025-10-20Fort Erie?2nd-1th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0920/1030/0611/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength28%

Delivery trend -15.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/09/20253rd20/10%71%+0.71
26/09/20254th16/116%40%+0.24
03/10/20255th20/10%56%+0.56
20/10/20252nd11/271%86%+0.15
14/11/20255th50/10%67%+0.67
13/12/20257th40/10%25%+0.25
30/06/20263rd5/287%60%-0.27
28/07/20262nd1/195%80%-0.15
11/08/20265th8/1397%0%-0.97