6
Speedy Lady
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 62
Fort Erie · Race 5 - Allowance · 6f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
47%
Place Prob
41%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Fort Erie | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Fort Erie | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Fort Erie | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Fort Erie | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-09-09 | Fort Erie | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-25 | Fort Erie | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +5.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07/2025 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 75% | -0.18 |
| 22/07/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 11/08/2025 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 25/08/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 09/09/2025 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 21/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 06/07/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 29% | -0.40 |
| 20/07/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 17/08/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |