Glitter Bay
8yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 51
Fort Erie · Race 6 - Claiming · 7f
#5
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | Mountaineer | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-06 | Mountaineer | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-08-13 | Mountaineer | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 07/07/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 17% | -0.36 |
| 16/07/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 86% | -0.04 |
| 13/08/2025 | 7th | 6/4 | 92% | 0% | -0.92 |
| 14/04/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 33% | -0.52 |
| 22/04/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 80% | -0.11 |
| 06/05/2026 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 13% | -0.53 |
| 31/05/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 24/06/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |