4
My Cash Factor
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 58
Fort Erie · Race 6 - Claiming · 7f
#6
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Fort Erie | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Fort Erie | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Fort Erie | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Fort Erie | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-05 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength16%
Delivery trend -3.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 12/12/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 22/05/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 05/06/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 05/07/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 03/08/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |
| 10/08/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 24/08/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 80% | +0.64 |
| 15/09/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |