7
Benny's Day
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 73
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength19%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength70%
Delivery trend +1.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 57% | -0.11 |
| 09/10/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |
| 04/11/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |
| 11/11/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 63% | -0.16 |
| 04/06/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 07/07/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 57% | -0.11 |
| 30/07/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |
| 26/08/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 11/09/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |