4
House Of Gold
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 72
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength55%
Delivery trend +3.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |
| 08/10/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |
| 15/04/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |
| 07/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 80% | -0.11 |
| 21/05/2026 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 04/06/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 63% | +0.26 |
| 07/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 30/07/2026 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 0% | -0.88 |
| 26/08/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |