Mystery Impact
6yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 67
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 6th | +3 |
| 2026-08-26 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-06-30 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-06-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 29/04/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/05/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/06/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 30/06/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 10/07/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/07/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 26/08/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/09/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |