1

Rapid Justice

4yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 85

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m 110y

#2

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

40%

Place Prob

42%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength82%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 30/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m70y Fas 11830/07C?C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 26/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 77 · 1m Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/08/2025 · OR 77 parC0 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 01/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m70y 1181/10C?C0 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 25/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m70y 124C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 13/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 89 · 1m 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/11/2025 · OR 89 par13/11C5OR 89C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 02/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 91 · 6f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/05/2026 · OR 91 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 18/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 91 · 1m Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/05/2026 · OR 91 par18/05C5OR 91C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 30/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 86 · 1m Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/06/2026 · OR 86 parC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 26/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 85 · 1m70y Fas 119 · below its mark26/08/2026 · OR 85 par26/08C8OR 85projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0
2026-06-30Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th3rd+3
2026-05-18Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th1st+3
2026-05-02Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th1st+3
2025-11-13Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd-1th+3
2025-10-25Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0725/1018/0526/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength32%

Delivery trend -10.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/07/20253rd33/10%82%+0.82
26/08/20254th9/276%67%-0.10
01/10/20251st7/282%100%+0.18
25/10/20254th10/382%73%-0.10
13/11/20252nd11/486%89%+0.03
02/05/20264th6/168%50%-0.18
18/05/20264th9/276%57%-0.19
30/06/20266th11/271%17%-0.54
26/08/20264th9/488%70%-0.18