2

Blessed Azteca

2yo Filly · 8-5 · OR 51

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y

#4

Rank

Odds

15/8

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move3
Strength35%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 10.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Churchill Downs 21/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 5f Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS21/06C6
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-21Churchill Downs?10th7th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 8-13 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/06/202610th33/10%18%+0.18