2
Lotta Latte
5yo Mare · 8-7 · OR 66
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
7%
Place Prob
16%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength32%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-15 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength39%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 5.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 71% | -0.17 |
| 13/11/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 63% | +0.10 |
| 14/04/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 02/05/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 80% | -0.09 |
| 19/05/2026 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 20% | -0.68 |
| 15/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 80% | -0.07 |
| 30/07/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 22/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 88% | +0.35 |
| 09/09/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 38% | -0.26 |