3
Loveitorleaveit
3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 57
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-10-28 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-10-09 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 7th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength97%
Delivery trend +4.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 5. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10/2025 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/10/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 13/05/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 28/05/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 09/07/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 22/08/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |