Boonesboro
3yo Colt · 8-8 · OR 79
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
8/11
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 6.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Ellis Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Ellis Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 11th | 8th | +3 |
| 2025-10-04 | Keeneland | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2025-08-30 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/2025 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 55% | -0.28 |
| 04/10/2025 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 40% | -0.26 |
| 12/05/2026 | 11th | 3/1 | 84% | 9% | -0.75 |
| 04/07/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 43% | -0.18 |
| 17/08/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |