7

Cause Ima Boss

4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 60

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y

#2

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

60%

Place Prob

44%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength29%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 23/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 41 · 6f Fas 120 · beat its mark23/06/2025 · OR 41 par23/06C9OR 41C9 @ Turfway Park 20/02/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 31 · 6f110y 125 · below its mark20/02/2026 · OR 31 parC9 @ Turfway Park 19/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 28 · 6f Fas 125 · beat its mark19/03/2026 · OR 28 par19/03C9OR 28C9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 08/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 42 · 6f Fas 124 · beat its mark08/04/2026 · OR 42 parC9 @ Churchill Downs 26/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 43 · 6f 125 · beat its mark26/04/2026 · OR 43 par26/04C9OR 43C9 @ Churchill Downs 10/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 57 · 7f 125 · below its mark10/05/2026 · OR 57 parC9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 25/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 55 · 5f110y Slo 124 · beat its mark25/05/2026 · OR 55 par25/05C9OR 55C9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 10/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 58 · 5f Slo 124 · beat its mark10/06/2026 · OR 58 parC9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 01/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 54 · 6f 124 · beat its mark01/09/2026 · OR 54 par1/09C9OR 54projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd2nd0
2026-06-10Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd2nd0
2026-05-25Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd2nd0
2026-05-10Churchill Downs?6th6th0
2026-04-26Churchill Downs?3rd3rd0
2026-04-08Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/068/0425/051/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength74%

Delivery trend -0.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/06/20255th40/10%33%+0.33
20/02/202610th40/10%0%0.00
19/03/20263rd40/10%82%+0.82
08/04/20264th10/382%40%-0.42
26/04/20263rd100/10%71%+0.71
10/05/20266th8/158%38%-0.20
25/05/20262nd9/276%83%+0.07
10/06/20262nd13/266%83%+0.18
01/09/20262nd10/147%86%+0.38