Chondrite
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 53
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 8.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-04-21 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +16.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/04/2026 | 5th | 13/8 | 91% | 43% | -0.49 |
| 22/06/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 07/07/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 02/09/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |