3
Diamondintherough
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 63
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f
#7
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.6 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 8th | 11th | −3 |
| 2026-03-08 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-01-02 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2025-11-16 | Churchill Downs | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-08-24 | Ellis Park | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-08-09 | Ellis Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 5-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength9%
Delivery trend -7.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 57% | -0.03 |
| 24/08/2025 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 27% | -0.31 |
| 16/11/2025 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 02/01/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |
| 08/03/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 14% | -0.44 |
| 18/04/2026 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 13% | -0.53 |