4
Ginger Ale
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 83
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f
#4
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Ellis Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-03 | Keeneland | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-08-24 | Ellis Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-07-12 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength97%
Delivery trend +10.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/2025 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 24/08/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 03/10/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 64% | -0.07 |
| 26/06/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 71% | +0.03 |
| 31/07/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 73% | +0.04 |