5
No Self Control
4yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 89
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f
#2
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength85%
Delivery trend +2.6% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 82% | +0.24 |
| 29/10/2025 | 7th | 15/8 | 90% | 40% | -0.50 |
| 14/03/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 22/04/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 13/05/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 04/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 90% | +0.02 |
| 24/06/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 06/08/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 90% | +0.16 |
| 27/08/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 91% | +0.12 |