2
Poverty With Aview
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 80
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f
#3
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Colonial Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Keeneland | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Sam Houston Race Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-01 | Sam Houston Race Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-28 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength55%
Delivery trend -3.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 82% | +0.24 |
| 06/10/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 91% | +0.33 |
| 02/11/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 28/12/2025 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 29% | -0.29 |
| 01/02/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 86% | -0.04 |
| 14/03/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 83% | -0.06 |
| 17/04/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 01/08/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 13/08/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |