1
Sugar Doll
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 85
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f
#5
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 6.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Ellis Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-30 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-04 | Gulfstream | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-11-12 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-11 | Churchill Downs | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength94%
Delivery trend +6.9% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09/2025 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 10% | -0.48 |
| 12/11/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 73% | +0.25 |
| 04/01/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 11% | -0.36 |
| 30/01/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 22/08/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |