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9

First Ladybug

2yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 55

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f

#2

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

14%

Place Prob

22%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 22/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 7f110y Gd 12022/08C6C9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 08/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 44 · 5f 120 · beat its mark08/09/2026 · OR 44 par8/09C9OR 44projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd6th−3
2026-08-22Horseshoe Indianapolis?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/088/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +22.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/08/20268th40/10%22%+0.22
08/09/20263rd14/126%71%+0.45