1
Boitano
7yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 95
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
97%
Place Prob
82%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Turfway Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-16 | Fair Grounds | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-21 | Fair Grounds | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength70%
Delivery trend -2.8% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/12/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 01/01/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 22/01/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 21/02/2026 | 2nd | 4/5 | 96% | 90% | -0.06 |
| 16/03/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 78% | -0.12 |
| 28/03/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 09/06/2026 | 2nd | 4/5 | 96% | 88% | -0.08 |
| 06/07/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 31/08/2026 | 4th | 6/5 | 94% | 67% | -0.27 |