9
Leave It To Kitten
10yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 89
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Turfway Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-03-14 | Turfway Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-02-28 | Turfway Park | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-02-13 | Turfway Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength58%
Delivery trend +4.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 30% | +0.04 |
| 05/11/2025 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 03/01/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 13/02/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 28/02/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 45% | +0.19 |
| 14/03/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 78% | +0.62 |
| 28/03/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 78% | +0.09 |
| 05/08/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 31/08/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 44% | +0.29 |