8
Memphis Pharoah
6yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 88
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-08-31 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-05-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-03-08 | Turfway Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-02-05 | Turfway Park | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength60%
Delivery trend +7.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11/2025 | 9th | 9/4 | 88% | 20% | -0.68 |
| 12/12/2025 | 11th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 16/01/2026 | 8th | 10/3 | 82% | 22% | -0.60 |
| 05/02/2026 | 7th | 11/4 | 86% | 14% | -0.71 |
| 08/03/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 78% | -0.04 |
| 11/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 90% | +0.27 |
| 06/06/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 55% | -0.24 |
| 31/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 89% | +0.13 |
| 11/09/2026 | 8th | 5/2 | 87% | 30% | -0.57 |