2

Revs Medal

6yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 92

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m

#6

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength23%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 05/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 88 · 1m110y Fm 118 · below its mark05/11/2025 · OR 88 par5/11C8OR 88C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 13/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 77 · 1m 121 · below its mark13/11/2025 · OR 77 parC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 15/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 86 · 5f110y Fas 119 · below its mark15/04/2026 · OR 86 par15/04C8OR 86C7 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 02/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 90 · 1m Fas 119 · below its mark02/05/2026 · OR 90 parC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 06/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 93 · 1m Fm 119 · below its mark06/06/2026 · OR 93 par6/06C8OR 93C7 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 25/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 88 · 1m Gd 122 · below its mark25/06/2026 · OR 88 parC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 16/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 97 · 1m Fm 119 · below its mark16/07/2026 · OR 97 par16/07C8OR 97C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 25/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 90 · 1m 119 · below its mark25/08/2026 · OR 90 parC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 11/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 91 · 1m Fm 119 · below its mark11/09/2026 · OR 91 par11/09C8OR 91projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th7th1
2026-08-25Horseshoe Indianapolis?9th10th1
2026-07-16Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th6th1
2026-06-25Horseshoe Indianapolis?10th10th0
2026-06-06Horseshoe Indianapolis?7th8th1
2026-05-02Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/112/0516/0711/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 6-9 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -5.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/11/20258th25/10%30%+0.30
13/11/20255th16/116%56%+0.40
15/04/20265th16/116%33%+0.18
02/05/20265th20/10%43%+0.43
06/06/20267th20/10%45%+0.45
25/06/202610th9/153%0%-0.53
16/07/20265th10/147%43%-0.05
25/08/20269th10/147%0%-0.47
11/09/20266th25/10%50%+0.50