3
Wicked Suprise
7yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 85
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#9
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Hawthorne | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Hawthorne | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-05-07 | Hawthorne | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-10-26 | Hawthorne | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength35%
Delivery trend -4.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 40% | -0.21 |
| 21/09/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 56% | -0.18 |
| 12/10/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 26/10/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 07/05/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 28/05/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 40% | -0.49 |
| 06/07/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 13/07/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 31/08/2026 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 11% | -0.57 |