Zach
5yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 88
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
15%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-08-26 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-06-30 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-06-02 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.4% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08/2025 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 89% | -0.05 |
| 17/09/2025 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 06/10/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 88% | +0.01 |
| 02/06/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 17% | -0.68 |
| 30/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 28/07/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 25% | -0.43 |
| 06/08/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 26/08/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 08/09/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |