3
Tea Quila
3yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 65
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Allowance · 1f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.4
Today:
Class gap: -2.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-10-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2025-09-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 6th | −3 |
| 2025-08-17 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 6th | −3 |
| 2025-05-05 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 11th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 6-8 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength27%
Delivery trend +2.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/05/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 17/08/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 89% | +0.01 |
| 25/09/2025 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 89% | -0.03 |
| 22/10/2025 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 06/07/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 13% | -0.03 |