4

Loughrea N Roll

2yo Colt · 9-7

Listowel · SIS Irish EBF Maiden · 7f 15y

#3

Rank

Odds

10/11

Win Prob

22%

Place Prob

25%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

145,000 gns Lope De Vega colt who produced a promising first effort having been found wanting for know-how early doors when third of 11 in a Curragh maiden (7f) last month, running on. Looks sure to improve from that initial experience and he's fancied to feature.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 09/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 7f Goo 1339/08C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-09Curragh?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-6 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/08/20263rd16/116%80%+0.64