5

Speakers Corner

2yo Colt · 9-7

Listowel · SIS Irish EBF Maiden · 7f 15y

#2

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

44%

Place Prob

36%

Rank

#2

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Promising first effort when considerately-handled fourth (beaten 3 lengths) of 6 at the Curragh (7f). Had worst of the draw but possibly amiss when last of 13 at Goodwood (7f) 52 days ago and he certainly remains with potential for all the application of blinkers tempers enthusiasm to a degree.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move3
Strength25%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 8.5)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: +3.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 18/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 7f Goo 13118/07C82 @ Goodwood 01/08/2026 · Pos 13th of 13 · OR - · 7f GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS1/082projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 2
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-01Goodwood213th6th+6
2026-07-18Curragh?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/071/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 6-6 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -42.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/07/20264th2/189%40%-0.49
01/08/202613th13/891%0%-0.91