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3

Cisterna

3yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 58

Listowel · Rose Hotel Handicap (0-60) · 7f 15y

#1

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

26%

Place Prob

26%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Comfortably scored at Roscommon in May. Largely in good form since and beaten ½ length by She's On The Ball in 22-runner handicap at Cork (7f, soft) 13 days ago. Needs considering.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength27%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.8)

Highest class: BHA55
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA60 @ Naas 22/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR 60 · 5f Sft 128 · beat its mark22/03/2026 · OR 60 par22/0360OR 60BHA58 @ Gowran Park 08/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 58 · 7f Sft 132 · beat its mark08/04/2026 · OR 58 parBHA57 @ Roscommon 11/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 57 · 7f111y Gd 125 · beat its mark11/05/2026 · OR 57 par11/0557OR 57BHA62 @ Curragh 03/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 18 · OR 62 · 6f63y Goo 132 · beat its mark03/06/2026 · OR 62 parBHA62 @ Cork 14/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 62 · 1m Gd 133 · beat its mark14/06/2026 · OR 62 par14/0662OR 62BHA62 @ Fairyhouse 01/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 62 · 1m160y Goo 132 · beat its mark01/07/2026 · OR 62 parBHA60 @ Galway 02/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 60 · 1m73y Yie 120 · beat its mark02/08/2026 · OR 60 par2/0860OR 60BHA58 @ Roscommon 31/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 58 · 7f94y Yie 135 · beat its mark31/08/2026 · OR 58 parBHA55 @ Cork 09/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 22 · OR 55 · 7f Goo 133 · beat its mark09/09/2026 · OR 55 par9/0955OR 55projClass-projected finish: 5th of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09CorkBHA552nd2nd0
2026-08-31RoscommonBHA5810th10th0
2026-08-02GalwayBHA608th8th0
2026-07-01FairyhouseBHA625th5th0
2026-06-14CorkBHA625th5th0
2026-06-03CurraghBHA627th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/033/062/089/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1586% of fieldRange 2-14 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength50%

Delivery trend -5.6% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/03/20265th20/10%71%+0.71
08/04/20263rd10/147%78%+0.30
11/05/20261st7/163%100%+0.37
03/06/20267th5/174%65%-0.09
14/06/20265th5/174%64%-0.10
01/07/20265th15/261%69%+0.09
02/08/20268th10/147%30%-0.17
31/08/202610th8/158%31%-0.27
09/09/20262nd11/142%95%+0.53