5
Imperial Dream
6yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 52
Listowel · Rose Hotel Handicap (0-60) · 7f 15y
#5
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#5
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 11.7 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Galway | BHA52 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Leopardstown | BHA59 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Curragh | BHA63 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Fairyhouse | BHA67 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Curragh | BHA70 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2025-11-14 | Dundalk | BHA71 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1579% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength76%
Delivery trend +3.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/2025 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 58% | +0.53 |
| 19/09/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 92% | +0.11 |
| 24/10/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 77% | -0.02 |
| 14/11/2025 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 04/05/2026 | 15th | 22/1 | 0% | 26% | +0.26 |
| 08/07/2026 | 13th | 66/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 18/07/2026 | 15th | 50/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 06/08/2026 | 15th | 18/1 | 5% | 13% | +0.07 |
| 08/09/2026 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |