6

Oppenheimer

3yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 55

Listowel · Rose Hotel Handicap (0-60) · 7f 15y

#14

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Good fourth at Gowran (7f) in August but only twelfth of 16 in handicap at Cork (1m, good to soft) 23 days ago. Bounce back is needed.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength8%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 8.6)

Highest class: BHA59
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Leopardstown 17/07/2025 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 6f110y Gd 13017/07C8C8 @ Curragh 09/08/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 7f Gd 1339/08C8C8 @ Naas 18/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 5f205y Yie 13118/09C8BHA65 @ Curragh 19/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 21 · OR 65 · 6f Sft 124 · below its mark19/04/2026 · OR 65 par19/0465OR 65BHA64 @ Curragh 04/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 20 · OR 64 · 6f Gd 124 · beat its mark04/05/2026 · OR 64 par4/0564OR 64BHA60 @ Gowran Park 07/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 60 · 7f Goo 142 · beat its mark07/08/2026 · OR 60 par7/0860OR 60BHA59 @ Cork 30/08/2026 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR 59 · 1m Yie 141 · beat its mark30/08/2026 · OR 59 par30/0859OR 59projClass-projected finish: 8th of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30CorkBHA5912th12th0
2026-08-07Gowran ParkBHA604th4th0
2026-05-04CurraghBHA647th7th0
2026-04-19CurraghBHA6511th11th0
2025-09-18Naas?7th7th0
2025-08-09Curragh?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0719/0430/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1514% of fieldRange 2-15 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength47%

Delivery trend -6.7% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 13th of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/07/202511th11/142%23%-0.19
09/08/20258th100/10%22%+0.22
18/09/20257th25/10%45%+0.45
19/04/202611th20/10%50%+0.50
04/05/20267th10/147%68%+0.21
07/08/20264th6/594%77%-0.17
30/08/202612th5/174%27%-0.47