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14

Sand Art

3yo Colt · 8-11 · OR 43

Listowel · Rose Hotel Handicap (0-60) · 7f 15y

#10

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Blinkered for first time when getting off the mark at the eighth attempt in 12-runner handicap at Sligo (6f, good to soft) in August. That form has been franked so he's a player despite 3 lb rise with cheekpieces on now.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 8.3)

Highest class: BHA40
Recent avg: C4.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 24/05/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 6f Gd 13124/05C8C8 @ Curragh 04/06/2025 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 6f Goo 133C8 @ Dundalk 30/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m Std 13430/01C8BHA47 @ Dundalk 11/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 47 · 7f Std 119 · beat its mark11/02/2026 · OR 47 parBHA44 @ Down Royal 29/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 44 · 7f Goo 123 · beat its mark29/05/2026 · OR 44 par29/0544OR 44BHA42 @ Ballinrobe 22/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 42 · 1m1f163y Yie 122 · beat its mark22/06/2026 · OR 42 parBHA40 @ Limerick 11/07/2026 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR 40 · 6f150y Gd 120 · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 40 par11/0740OR 40BHA40 @ Sligo 05/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 40 · 6f Yie 122 · beat its mark05/08/2026 · OR 40 par5/0840OR 40projClass-projected finish: 7th of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-05SligoBHA401st1st0
2026-07-11LimerickBHA4014th14th0
2026-06-22BallinrobeBHA4210th10th0
2026-05-29Down RoyalBHA447th7th0
2026-02-11DundalkBHA477th7th0
2026-01-30Dundalk?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0511/0211/075/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1529% of fieldRange 2-15 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength43%

Delivery trend -2.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/05/20259th100/10%0%0.00
04/06/202510th250/10%25%+0.25
30/01/20268th14/126%46%+0.20
11/02/20267th8/158%40%-0.18
29/05/20267th7/163%54%-0.09
22/06/202610th8/158%31%-0.27
11/07/202614th13/266%0%-0.66
05/08/20261st10/147%100%+0.53