9

Sceitimini

3yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 48

Listowel · Rose Hotel Handicap (0-60) · 7f 15y

#15

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#15

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Best effort of the summer in first-time cheekpieces when fifth of 16 in handicap at Cork (1m, good to soft) 10 days ago, albeit not fully convincing with his stamina for the longer trip. Not out of things back to 7f.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength11%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 8.7 /10 (raw 8.3)

Highest class: BHA52
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Killarney 14/07/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 1m20y Yie 13314/07C8C8 @ Cork 30/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 5f Goo 133C8 @ Curragh 16/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 6f Yie 12816/10C8BHA62 @ Dundalk 12/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 62 · 6f Std 130 · below its mark12/11/2025 · OR 62 parBHA60 @ Dundalk 23/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 60 · 5f Std 129 · beat its mark23/01/2026 · OR 60 par23/0160OR 60BHA58 @ Bellewstown 03/07/2026 · Pos 13th of 13 · OR 58 · 5f3y Gd 135 · below its mark03/07/2026 · OR 58 parBHA56 @ Cork 14/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 56 · 5f Goo 128 · below its mark14/08/2026 · OR 56 par14/0856OR 56BHA52 @ Cork 30/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR 52 · 1m Yie 134 · beat its mark30/08/2026 · OR 52 par30/0852OR 52projClass-projected finish: 11th of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30CorkBHA525th5th0
2026-08-14CorkBHA5611th11th0
2026-07-03BellewstownBHA5813th13th0
2026-01-23DundalkBHA605th5th0
2025-11-12DundalkBHA628th8th0
2025-10-16Curragh?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0712/1114/0830/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 157% of fieldRange 3-15 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength41%

Delivery trend +3.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/07/20258th250/10%0%0.00
30/09/20256th150/10%17%+0.17
16/10/202510th150/10%18%+0.18
12/11/20258th33/10%46%+0.46
23/01/20265th18/15%69%+0.64
03/07/202613th12/137%0%-0.37
14/08/202611th33/10%9%+0.09
30/08/20265th80/10%73%+0.73