10
She's On The Ball
3yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 48
Listowel · Rose Hotel Handicap (0-60) · 7f 15y
#2
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
63%
Place Prob
41%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength32%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 7.5)
Highest class: BHA42
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Cork | BHA42 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Sligo | BHA44 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Fairyhouse | BHA44 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Limerick | BHA43 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Cork | BHA47 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Curragh | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 15100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +6.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10/2025 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 20% | -0.38 |
| 20/02/2026 | 13th | 125/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 15/03/2026 | 10th | 300/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 24/04/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 41% | +0.41 |
| 10/06/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 69% | -0.07 |
| 01/07/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 05/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 82% | +0.11 |
| 09/09/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |