IvyArcIvyArc
1

Jagged Edge

4yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 105

Listowel · Edmund & Josie Whelan Memorial Listowel Stakes (Listed) · 1m

#6

Rank

Odds

9/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Has progressed into a smart performer for current yard, winning listed race at Killarney (1m, good, 7/2) 32 days ago by 1¼ lengths from Carolina Jetstream. Shouldered with a 3 lb penalty for that but it may not stop him.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲6
Strength5%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.

Class-adjusted form 14.7 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C7.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -6.1
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Cork 19/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 17 · OR - · 1m Sft 13419/04C8BHA90 @ Curragh 24/05/2025 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 90 · 7f Goo 138 · below its mark24/05/2025 · OR 90 parBHA88 @ Curragh 30/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR 88 · 1m Goo 119 · beat its mark30/08/2025 · OR 88 par30/0888OR 88BHA92 @ Curragh 14/09/2025 · Pos 17th of 21 · OR 92 · 1m2f Goo 127 · below its mark14/09/2025 · OR 92 parBHA93 @ Naas 17/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR 93 · 1m Gd 140 · beat its mark17/05/2026 · OR 93 par17/0593OR 932 @ Royal Ascot 17/06/2026 · Pos 12th of 28 · OR 102 · 1m GF 130 · beat its mark17/06/2026 · OR 102 parBHA102 @ Galway 28/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 17 · OR 102 · 1m123y Yie 139 · below its mark28/07/2026 · OR 102 par28/07102OR 102BHA102 @ Galway 02/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 102 · 7f Yie 140 · below its mark02/08/2026 · OR 102 par1 @ Killarney 21/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 103 · 1m30y Gd 135 · beat its mark21/08/2026 · OR 103 par21/081OR 103projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-21Killarney11st1st0
2026-08-02GalwayBHA10210th21th−9
2026-07-28GalwayBHA1023rd14th−9
2026-06-17Royal Ascot212th13th−1
2026-05-17NaasBHA931st11th−9
2025-09-14CurraghBHA9217th27th−8

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0414/0928/0721/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength98%

Delivery trend -0.8% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 5th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/04/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
24/05/202511th4/179%0%-0.79
30/08/20251st22/10%100%+1.00
14/09/202517th25/10%20%+0.20
17/05/20261st10/147%100%+0.53
17/06/202612th8/158%59%+0.01
28/07/20263rd15/261%88%+0.27
02/08/202610th7/163%31%-0.32
21/08/20261st7/282%100%+0.18