9
Queen Of The Bogs
4yo Filly · 9-4 · OR 87
Listowel · Edmund & Josie Whelan Memorial Listowel Stakes (Listed) · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲6
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 11.8 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C7.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -6.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Punchestown | BHA89 | 4th | 14th | −8 |
| 2026-06-12 | Fairyhouse | BHA92 | 2nd | 12th | −8 |
| 2025-08-22 | Killarney | 1 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-07-20 | Curragh | ? | 1st | 10th | −7 |
| 2025-06-27 | Curragh | ? | 7th | 16th | −7 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 10-11 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -21.6% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06/2025 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 20/07/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 22/08/2025 | 8th | 17/2 | 55% | 13% | -0.43 |
| 12/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 15/09/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |